Dennis Lindley quotes
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“Uncertainty is a personal matter; it is not the uncertainty but your uncertainty.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty" by Dennis Lindley, (p. 1), 2006.
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“It is dangerous to attach probability zero to anything other than a logical impossibility.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 5 "The Rules of Probability", p. 64), 2006.
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“I believe that almost all important, useful ideas are simple. Peter Whittle has recently put it nicely in an autobiographical essay. "If a piece of work is heavy and complicated then it is wrong." . . . Some writers feel that to express their ideas in simple terms is degrading. Some use complexity to disguise the paucity of their material. In fact, simplicity is a virtue and when, as here, it is both original and useful, it can represent a real advance in knowledge.”
-- Dennis Lindley -
“Consider the case of a person who holds a view with probability 1. Then coherence says that it is no use having a debate with them because nothing will change their mind.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 6 "Bayes Rule", p. 91), 2006.
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“Utility is the emotion pleading to be let into the house of pure reason and thereby enriching it.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 2 "Stylistic Questions", p. 20), 2006.
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“In my opinion, it helps enormously to know why something is true, rather than being told it is true, for why should you believe me? Never believe anything on the authority of a single person but seek confirmation — and reason is the best confirmation.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 2 "Stylistic Questions", pp. 24-25), 2006.
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“Whatever way uncertainty is approached, probability is the only sound way to think about it.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 5 "The Rules of Probability", p. 71), 2006.
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“The grand assertion is that you must see the world through probability and that probability is the only guide you need.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 5 "The Rules of Probability", p. 66), 2006.
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“It is not surprising that in talking about uncertainty we should lean heavily on facts, just as the court of law does when interrogating witnesses. Facts form a sort of bedrock on which we can build the shifting sands of uncertainty.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 2 "Stylistic Questions", p. 19), 2006.
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“In teaching there can be too much emphasis on certainty and a proper appreciation of uncertainty is to be encouraged.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 6 "Bayes Rule", p. 81), 2006.
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“Generally there is Stigler's law of Eponymy that says that a scientific notion is never attributed to the right person; in particular, the law is not due to Stigler.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Prologue, p. 15), 2006.
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“Almost all thinking people agree that you should not have probability 1 (or 0) for any event, other than one demonstrable by logic, like 2 x 2 = 4.”
-- Dennis LindleySource : "Understanding Uncertainty". Book by Dennis Lindley (Chapter 6 "Bayes Rule", p. 91), 2006.
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