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“Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.”
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Nate Silver
Source : Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.309, Penguin
#Differences Quotes
#Self Quotes
#Serenity Quotes
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“There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.”
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Nate Silver
#Risk Quotes
#Marketing Quotes
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“Success makes you less intimidated by things.”
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Nate Silver
#Marketing Quotes
#Intimidated Quotes
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“New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.”
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Nate Silver
Source : Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.76, Penguin
#Ideas Quotes
#Marketing Quotes
#Details Quotes
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“We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.”
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Nate Silver
Source : Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.20, Penguin
#Marketing Quotes
#Probability Quotes
#Uncertainty Quotes
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“When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen”
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Nate Silver
#Data Quotes
#Funny Things Quotes
#Judgment Quotes
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“I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.”
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Nate Silver
#Baseball Quotes
#Data Quotes
#Competition Quotes
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“We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.”
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Nate Silver
#Real Quotes
#Mean Quotes
#Skills Quotes
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“I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about,”
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Nate Silver
#Team Quotes
#Thinking Quotes
#Missions Quotes
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“Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things.”
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Nate Silver
#Two Quotes
#Way Quotes
#Different Quotes
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“A lot of things can't be modeled very well.”
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Nate Silver
#Wells Quotes
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“All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.”
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Nate Silver
#Writing Quotes
#Stuff Quotes
#Way Quotes
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“We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it's kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor.”
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Nate Silver
#Heart Quotes
#Doctors Quotes
#Risk Quotes
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“Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.”
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Nate Silver
#Political Quotes
#Noise Quotes
#Doe Quotes
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“Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.”
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Nate Silver
#Data Quotes
#Scientist Quotes
#Statistician Quotes
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“We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.”
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Nate Silver
Source : Source: www.broadwayworld.com
#Google Quotes
#Marketing Quotes
#World Quotes
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“Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.”
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Nate Silver
#Motivation Quotes
#Inspiration Quotes
#Race Quotes
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“Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.”
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Nate Silver
#Baseball Quotes
#Games Quotes
#Polls Quotes
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“We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.”
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Nate Silver
Source : Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.17, Penguin
#Speak Quotes
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“If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.”
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Nate Silver
#Winning Quotes
#College Quotes
#Swings Quotes
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“The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.”
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Nate Silver
#Enemy Quotes
#Progress Quotes
#Quests Quotes
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“To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight,”
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Nate Silver
#Gay Quotes
#Kind Quotes
#Sexually Quotes
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“I don't think you should limit what you read.”
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Nate Silver
#Thinking Quotes
#Limits Quotes
#Should Quotes
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“I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.”
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Nate Silver
#Thinking Quotes
#Problem Quotes
#Really Great Quotes
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“To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'”
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Nate Silver
#Hey Quotes
#Realizing Quotes
#Minors Quotes
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“Voters memories will fade some.”
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Nate Silver
#Memories Quotes
#Voters Quotes
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“I think punditry serves no purpose.”
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Nate Silver
#Thinking Quotes
#Purpose Quotes
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“The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.”
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Nate Silver
#Mistake Quotes
#Missing Quotes
#Problem Quotes
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“People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.”
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Nate Silver
#Light Quotes
#People Quotes
#Information Quotes
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“Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.”
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Nate Silver
#Opportunity Quotes
#Remember Quotes
#Congress Quotes
